德国IFO在8月份的表现低于预期。 美中贸易的担忧持续影响着市场的情绪。

2019-08-26 16:47:27 22


欧元/美元兑美元走软-买入,IFO疲软

围绕美元的情绪回升,推低了本周一的点位,迫使其放弃了周五相关涨幅的一部分。今天,针对特朗普总统的一些推文,贸易担忧似乎有所缓解,这让美元重新获得了一些上行动力。

同时,德国IFO的关键指标也与下跌相配合,这一关键指标再次令人惊讶,它的所有构成部分都低于本月的预期,并跌至多年来的低点。事实上,商业气候降至94.3,目前的评估和商业预期分别降至97.3和91.3。

当天晚些时候,焦点将放在美国的待办事项和耐用品订单的发布,芝加哥联储的经济活动指数和达拉斯。联储制造量规

在欧元附近寻找什么?

上周五,这两家公司表示看涨,今天的价格走势应该是评估未来几天进一步复苏潜力的关键。与此同时,中美贸易紧张情绪继续推动着全球市场的情绪,与此同时,人们对中美贸易的预期是:欧央行宽松政策和意大利政治警告说,在该地区经济前景不断恶化的情况下,偶尔的看涨努力将不会持续下去。

欧元/美元水平有待观察

目前,这对股票在1.1116点下跌0.19%,在1.1113点(10天)面临直接竞争,其次是1.1051天(8月23日低点),最后是1.1026天(2019年低点8月1日)。另一方面,突破1.1186点(2017-2018年上涨61.8%)的目标是1.1212天(55日),目标是1.1282点(7月19日的高点)。

  • EUR/USD recedes further from earlier tops, around 1.1120.

  • German IFO came in below expectations in August.

  • US-China trade concerns keep ruling the markets’ mood.

The single currency keeps losing part of its shine at the beginning of the week and is now dragging EUR/USD to the area of daily lows in the 1.1120/15 band.

EUR/USD weaker on USD-buying, poor IFO

The pick up in the sentiment around the Greenback is driving spot lower on Monday and forcing it to give away part of Friday’s relevant advance. Trade concerns appear somewhat mitigated today in response to some tweets by President Trump, allowing the buck to regain some upside traction.

Also collaborating with the downside, the key German IFO indicator surprised to the downside once again, coming in short of expectations in all of its components for the current month and receding to multi-year lows. In fact, Business Climate dropped to 94.3 and Current Assessment and Business Expectations retreated to 97.3 and 91.3, respectively.

Later in the day, the focus will be on the US docket and the releases of Durable Goods Orders, the Chicago Fed Activity index and the Dallas Fedmanufacturing gauge.

What to look for around EUR

The pair charted a bullish ‘outside day’ last Friday and today’s price action should be key in assessing the potential for further recovery in the next days. In the meantime, US-China trade jitters continue to drive the sentiment in the global markets, while expectations of ECB easing and Italian politics warns against the sustainability of occasional bullish attempts, all amidst the unremitting deterioration of the economic outlook in the region.

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment, the pair is retreating 0.19% at 1.1116 and faces immediate contention at 1.1113 (10-day SMA) followed by 1.1051 (low Aug.23) and finally 1.1026 (2019 low Aug.1). On the flip side, a break above 1.1186 (61.8% Fibo of the 2017-2018 up move) would target 1.1212 (55-day SMA) en route to 1.1282 (high Jul.19).


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